Will Manifold Markets exist in 2025?
33
Ṁ2589
Jan 1
96%
chance

The website is up is as functional as it is now, or more

#Manifold User Retention
Get Ṁ1,000 play money
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I wish I had 100k Mana to bet on this.

predicts YES

@LightLawliet You will also like this one: https://manifold.markets/prerat/what-will-be-23-of-the-average-pred?r=TGVvbkJvaG5tYW5u

What will be 2/3 of the average predicted response to this question?
12 expected. I will resolve this market to 2/3 of the value predicted by this market when it closes.

There is absolutely no reason to bet against this, since the question cannot be resolved as "NO" per definition. So lets bring this up to 100%.

@LeonBohnmann The question can resolve "NO" per description, if Manifold loses part of its functionality.

predicts YES

@AnT You are right, that wording is ambiguous, even though I interpret "functional" as a binary thing in this case because of the title.

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