Complementary to https://manifold.markets/Arky/if-trump-is-elected-will-there-be-a-40ca39e5dcec?r=U25hcmZsYWs

with the same resolution criteria:

If Kamala Harris does not win the 2024 presidential election or there is a peace treaty signed concluding the Russia-Ukraine war before the election this market will resolve to N/A. If Kamala Harris does win the 2024 presidential election:

• This market will resolve to YES if, before November 3rd 2026, there is a ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war that consists of a 30 day period where the Ukrainian Ministry of Defense's daily updates report that less than 100 Russian soldiers have been killed in combat.

• This market will resolve to NO otherwise.

Note: if this market is featured on the Manifold Politics page the @ManifoldPolitics account may make edits, issue clarifications, and decide the resolution in ambiguous cases.