Will HTMX gain significant traction before the end of 2025?
➕
Plus
22
Ṁ1143
2026
62%
chance

htmx is a niche technology right now but it's enjoying a bit of momentum. It's a refreshing take on frontend compared to the mainstream tools right now (Next.js, Remix and the like). Rather than JavaScript everywhere, htmx gives developers more reasons to use their favourite backend language and still develop interactive web apps.

But anyway, I guess the difficult part is to determine "Significant traction" with some level of objectivity. I'd say something like: a Unicorn company uses htmx prevalently for their web frontend, or a YCombinator submitted startup chooses htmx as part of their stack, or similar. Any suggestions?

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

I would say HTMX has plenty hype (attention, stars, demos), but very little actual traction (usage).

I notice I've been hearing much less about it over the last few months, suggesting lack of traction.

bought Ṁ250 YES

Bullish

htmx finished 2nd in the 2023 JavaScript Rising Stars "Front-end Frameworks" category, just behind React and #10 overall. Does that count as "significant traction"?

@EvanDaniel @Eliza does this count a resolution material, given the unresponsive market creator?

@makeworld

I tried to look at whether the mod guidelines let me step in in this case but it is unclear. It does not have 40 traders and has not reached its close date. So I don't think I am allowed to clarify the criteria or do anything.

Close date extended. That seemed most sensible given unresponsive creator.

Unresolving to ask the creator whether they wanted to resolve Yes right now or have it open longer.

The original close date was 1 month after creation, rather than 2025, so the comment section is uncertain about this. Users commonly panic-resolve a question early if it closes before they intended it to.

@Solecontro Feel free to re-resolve this if you think it has already met the Yes criteria. If not, we will re-open it with a closing date of 2025. Of course, if it reaches Yes before then, you can always resolve it.

predicts YES

Why was this resolved?

predicts NO

@makeworld Yeah , it’s not 2025 yet…

predicts YES

@oh It’s before 2025 and HTMX has gained significant traction.

@JoelDrapper That very well may be the case, I am going to unresolve it temporarily to confirm with the creator! I noticed the market was originally set to close on 7 November 2023, rather than 2030. Sometimes creators get a notification that their market closed and they need to resolve it, and they panic-resolve before they actually wanted to.

bought Ṁ30 YES

htmx already has a good amount of traction on HN, it seems likely it will become more popular, at least among HN users. Also I want to see it succeed.

Please update the close date of this market to 2025.

The StackOverflow survey has a "Web frameworks and technologies" section. How about "is in the top N in the 2025 version of https://survey.stackoverflow.co/2023/#web-frameworks-and-technologies " as a criteria, for some value of N (e.g. top 10)?

I would consider something on the level of Tailwind to be significant traction in the frontend space.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules