If LK-99 conducts electricity with (nearly) zero resistivity, will it be a type II superconductor? | Manifold

If LK-99 conducts electricity with (nearly) zero resistivity, will it be a type II superconductor?

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resolved Jan 2

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Will resolve yes if LK-99 turns out to be a "traditional" type II superconductor before year 2025.

Will resolve no if LK-99 has the superconducting property of nearly zero* resistivity, but does not have all of the features of a traditional type II superconductor (before 2025). This could mean it is a type I superconductor, a type III superconductor, or some novel type of superconductor entirely.

Will resolve N/A if LK-99 turns out to have no interesting superconducting properties by 2025.

I will not bet in this market. Market may be resolved early.

*Within the bound of experimental measurements; for SC resistivity this is nominally 10^-10 Ohm-Meters.

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nice question and good description! welcome to Manifold 😊

FWIW, superconductors have actually zero resistance, but we can't measure zero so that would be the reason to define a threshold. The threshold should also be for the resistivity of the material, not the resistance which depends on the geometry.

@chrisjbillington Thanks, I’ve edited the title and description.

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What is the highest temperature (K) at which LK-99 is a superconductor?

Nobel Prize by 2026 if LK-99 superconductor replicates?

Nobel Prize by 2035 if LK-99 superconductor replicates?

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2030?

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2026?

Will any of the seven LK-99 superconductor authors win a Nobel before 2034?

Given that LK-99 is a rt/ap superconductor, will its average market price in 2028 be below $5,000.00 / metric ton?

Will room-temperature superconductors (such as LK-99) achieve commercial adoption by 2028?

Will we think PCPOSOS (Successor of LK-99) was a major achievement towards superconductivity and not a fraud?

Will the LK-99 room temp, ambient pressure superconductivity pre-print ever get replicated?

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