If the economy outperforms expectations will Joe Biden be elected in 2024?
Mini
6
171
Nov 9
41%
chance

Conditional market: Resolves if US real GDP growth is greater than 2.4% in 2023 and stays above 2% through H1 2024: resolves YES if Joe Biden is elected president, resolves NO if he is not. Resolves N/A if either real GDP growth 2023 is less than 2.4% or drops below 2% in H1 2024.

https://www.goldmansachs.com/intelligence/pages/the-global-economy-will-perform-better-than-many-expect-in-2024.html

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