Will China recreate GPT-4o by EOY 2024?
Basic
19
885
2025
37%
chance

Text, audio input-output, vision input-output all need to be at a similar level.

GPT-4o-0513

Text will be measured by ELO on Lmsys with a margin less then 10.

Criterion for audio and vision are yet to be determined.

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What counts as Chinese

@ismellpillows Chinese company/organizations.

I.e. if Huawei Tel Aviv lab made it, it counts. Meanwhile, MSRA does not count