Will we have a Humanoid comparable to humans by EOY 2027?
Basic
9
Ṁ297
2028
16%
chance

I will list 20 criteria that define "comparable to humans" in the next few months. For now, the list is incomplete.

It is super hard to come up with the list since the history of AI development tells us that we cannot predict what will be easy or hard for AI.

The humanoid needs to pass 16 of them for the market to resolve YES

  1. run 6m/s

  2. 60cm/24-inch running vertical jump

  3. do a wok tossing

  4. peel an apple

  5. zero-shot hiking on mountain trails

  6. crack a walnut without breaking it

  7. latte art

  8. Dodge a punch and jab back immediately

It needs to be the same model with the same software/hardware, i.e., can't fine-tune for a specific task.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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