Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2026
Basic
6
Ṁ1172026
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve based on mainstream media reports. Any kind of dementia counts. Outside speculation does not count, unless the evidence is so strong that mainstream media consensus emerges.
I do not bet on my markets.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2028
62% chance
Credible evidence Joe Biden has dementia emerges by 2026
51% chance
Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2030
63% chance
Credible evidence Joe Biden has dementia emerges by 2028
51% chance
Credible evidence Joe Biden has dementia emerges by 2030
61% chance
Major revelation about Trump's health, negative, before 2026
64% chance
Will Donald Trump assert an insanity or diminished capacity defense in any of his criminal cases by December 31, 2025?
31% chance
Will Trump be diagnozed with Alzheimers disease by 2028?
25% chance
Will Trumps defense lawyers argue he is not competent to stand trial due to age/dementia/etc if he loses the election?
37% chance
Trump is clearly in the middle stage of Alzheimer's. In which year will he "step back from public appearances"?