NFL Week 16 - Prop Bets
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Plus
20
Ṁ17k
Jan 4
99%
Game Winning Drive starting in the last 2 Minutes
99%
Quarterback throws at least 4 Touchdowns in a game
99%
A QB has at least 2 turnovers and at least 4 TDs (including passing)
99%
At least one missed kicking extra point attempt
99%
LA teams finish with a better record than NY teams
99%
A 1pm EST game is still going when a 4:25pm EST game starts
99%
For each game, take the GCD of both teams' scores. Is the result for any game at least 8?
99%
Largest FG made is from 57+ yards out
99%
Any team scores 24+ points before halftime
99%
Player Records at least 2 Interceptions in a Game
98.8%
A game goes into overtime
98.8%
Taylor Swift in Attendance to Any Game
98.6%
Any player scores 3 TDs in a game (non-passing)
97%
Pick Six
97%
Fake Punt Attempt
78%
At least 5 QBs throw for 300+ yards
71%
Score as time expires in the 4th Quarter/OT
61%
For each letter of the alphabet, at least one touchdown is scored by a player that has that letter in their first or last name
50%
AFC or NFC Offensive Player of the Week is a Running Back
50%
35% or higher Kick Return rate

2024-25 NFL Season - Week Sixteen

*** Asterisk Prop Clarifications

  • At Least 4 Favored Teams Lose

    • Favorite based on DraftKings closing line

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Based on closing DraftKings lines

  • A Starting QB gets a likely Season Ending Injury

    • If consensus the next week is that the player will be out for the season

    • Will lean towards "YES" (i.e. if the vibe is the player is 75/25 I will resolve YES)

    • Based on my subjective opinion (but feel free to give input)

  • Fake Punt Attempt

    • If a team lines up in punt formation and then snaps the ball with the intention to gain the first down instead of punting

  • Quarterback gets benched in the middle of a game

    • The quarterback that started the game is removed due to neither an injury, nor due to a blowout

    • Subjective judgement will be used, but generally these fulfilling these three criteria will be required for 99% of cases

      • No Injury

      • If it is the 4th quarter then the game has to be within 16 points (2 possessions)

      • Its not clear that the QB removed from the game will start the next game

  • Any Double Digit Underdog Wins

    • Resolves NO if there are no Double Digit Underdogs

  • Fat Guy Touchdown

    • A player that would be considered fat scores a TD

    • All O-linemen, and DTs scoring would count (regardless of how)

      • Reserve the right for other positions if they are fat enough (if you want, ask me a player beforehand)

  • Highest Scoring Game of the Season (so far)

    • Resolves at 50% for ties, weighted (so if there are two games tied for the top already, and this week adds another, it would resolve at 33%)

  • A 4th and 11+ is converted

    • First downs as the result of penalties do not count

    • This logic applies similar to any other prop like this

      • "(no plays)" in the box score do not count as a play

  • Top 5 Super Bowl favorites

    • If there is a tie for 5th (or like 4-6th), this will resolve at 50%

  • In general, lines that use betting lines or props will rely on the DraftKings odds

Add your own props related to Week Twelve (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Twelve finishes, but not later than that.

Game Slate:

Add your own props related to Week Sixteen (if it is super specific be prepared to help me find an answer). Answers should be able to be resolved by about a Week after Week Sixteen finishes, but not later than that.

Other Week 16 Props:

Other Week 16 Markets

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bought Ṁ894 YES

Jayden Daniels Washington 5 passing TDs & 2 interceptions
does both 4TD
and 2 turnovers and 4TDs

bought Ṁ538 YES

@StopPunting commanders over the eagles, game winning drive started at 1:46 left

bought Ṁ899 YES

Vikings/Seahawks just started while Eagles/Commanders and Cards/Panthers are still going.

bought Ṁ494 YES

@StopPunting Lions 27 in the first half

bought Ṁ644 YES

Steelers 17 Ravens 34 so GCD 17 which is >8

@ChristopherRandles is that the highest GCD so far this season?

@DanielTilkin Vikings v falcon 8 Dec 2024 42-21 beats it. Maybe others?

All time record GCD from 1964 43-43 is I suggest rather hard to beat.
Without ties 56-28 just once in 1949 AFAICS

@ChristopherRandles true, a tie is the easiest way to do it.

@DanielTilkin Unless 73-0 is record?

@ChristopherRandles hmm, would 0-0 be infinite?

@DanielTilkin Hmm., yes but it seems you shouldn't do GCD with all 0s:

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In mathematics, the greatest common divisor, also known as greatest common factor, of two or more integers, which are not all zero, is the largest positive integer that divides each of the integers. For two integers x, y, the greatest common divisor of x and y is denoted.


That does seems to allow 0 as long as there is also a different integer so 73-0 seems to be the record.

Spreads are up too!

pre-Chiefs/Steelers game, just in case Russell Wilson goes off for 15 TDs of course

reposted

All the crazy props have been added (to week 17 and 18 too!)

N/A'd due to close to end of season

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