Manifold Scouts: NFL Super Bowl Winning Quarterbacks
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Plus
26
Ṁ9611
3000
67%
Josh Allen
66%
Jalen Hurts
60%
Lamar Jackson
53%
Jayden Daniels
52%
Joe Burrow
41%
Brock Purdy
41%
C.J. Stroud
35%
Justin Herbert
33%
Jordan Love
31%
Cam Ward
31%
Jared Goff
29%
Bo Nix
28%
Drake Maye
27%
Caleb Williams
26%
Shedeur Sanders
24%
Dak Prescott
23%
Tua Tagovailoa
22%
Anthony Richardson
20%
Trevor Lawrence
20%
J.J. McCarthy

A player that already has a Super Bowl victory is not eligible. A back-up on a Superbowl winning team is not eligible UNLESS they make a significant contribution to the game. "NO" will resolve when a QB officially announces files for retirement, If that is ambiguous, I reserve the right to make the final judgement, but will definitely hear arguments.

Significant Contribution

  • 30% of offensive snaps OR

  • 50 or more combined Pass/Run/Receiving yards

As more QBs enter the league (or make it up the ranks) I will add them!

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bought Ṁ150 NO

I wonder what you mean by "significant contribution". Maybe rules can be changed to be whichever quarterback plays the most snaps for the game? Or the QBs that play at least 30% of snaps or something like that

@Riley12 I guess my test case would be like the Justin Fields sub package the Steelers ran. Or Mariota on sneaks for the Commanders. The objective measure is better I think (the other way to go would be include active backups but that significantly changes the market). It kinda sucks though if like a backup came in for a good drive and didn't reach the threshold there that they wouldn't be included? Maybe 30% snaps or 40+ yards total ground + air?

reposted

They say situation is everything, how are the rookies doing here after their new landing spots?

Daniel Jones being below zach wilson is a little crazy lol

*Jameis

@BrunoParga No, it's Jameson. No is free money.

Is this supposed to be Bo Nix?

Hurts > Allen?

bought Ṁ20 NO

@StopPunting right now Hurts is below Joe Burrow. I really like Joe and think he has decent chances of eventually getting his ring, but he's not playing a freaking conference game this weekend.

@BrunoParga oh I agree I just bought hurts up

@StopPunting if the AI is to be believed, the percentages add up to 959%. So among these guys we have the next decade of Super Bowls covered, disregarding any repeats, wins by guys not yet on the list or those who already have rings.

Like, there are possibly QBs who will win a Super Bowl in 2035 or earlier who are still in high school. Then you have the ones in the league who have already won and might, at least in principle, win again (Mahomes, Wilson, Stafford, Mahomes, Rodgers, Mahomes, Mahomes, technically-still-a-Colt Joe Flacco, Mahomes, Mahomes, and Mahomes).

That is to say that all options are significantly overpriced.

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