What will happen with the recent lawsuits by major record labels against AI music startups?
Plus
8
Ṁ11252026
72%
Udio or Suno will shutdown services temporarily
36%
Udio or Suno will shutdown services permanently
80%
A lawsuit reaches a settlement
46%
A lawsuit reaches trial
63%
A lawsuit reaches judgment
28%
A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the defendant
37%
A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the plaintiff
31%
A lawsuit is dismissed
73%
Training data is leaked or disclosed publicly by the court
31%
A lawsuit expands to include Microsoft as a defendant
69%
Microsoft drops its partnership with Suno
20%
A Billboard Top-100 Artist testifies at trial
Some labels, including Sony, Universal, and Warner, have started lawsuits against Udio and Suno.
Here's the RIAA press release. It looks like they're managing the lawsuits for the plaintiffs.
All outcomes that happen resolve YES. Any outcomes that don't happen by the end of these lawsuits will resolve NO. We'll have to keep an eye on when that might be.
Notes (may add more here as clarifications are needed):
"Billboard Top-100 Artist" or "Billboard 100 Artist" is any musician presently on Billboard's list of top 100 musicians, whatever it's called at the time, at the time of trial
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
What will happen with record label lawsuits against Suno (AI music company) in 2024? Multiple options (not exclusive).
Will some U.S. musicians be negatively affected financially due to AI by end of 2025?
47% chance
How many companies on this list will have been sued on copyright grounds over their use of AI before 2025?
7.7
Will the class-action lawsuit by artists against several AI art generators be successful?
20% chance
Will the first AI-generated song win a major music award (like a Grammy, MTV VMA, or similar) by the end of 2026?
48% chance
Will Major Copyright Reforms Affecting AI-Generated Works Be Enacted by 2026?
62% chance
How many listed companies will have been sued for copyright over AI, and have the trial resolved, before 2025?
2.5
Will there be a scandal in 2024, about the fact that a song is detected to be AI-generated?
26% chance
How many listed companies will have been sued for copyright over AI, and have a trial date announced, before 2025?
2.7
By end of 2024, what will be the legal status regarding the use of copyrighted works for training AI models in the US?