Will a large earthquake rock a major city that isn't in a tectonically active area by end 2029?
9
150Ṁ1122030
40%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Large Earthquake": 6.5 or larger, felt locally as 6.0+
"Major City": 1 million or more people, anywhere on Earth
"Isn't Tectonically Active": not on a known fault line and not somewhere that has had a 7.0+ earthquake in the past century
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?
8% chance
Will a major earthquake with a magnitude of 8.5 or greater occur in the Pacific Ring of Fire before the end of 2025?
9% chance
Will there be an earthquake of at least 8.0 magnitude by July 15?
31% chance
Will an earthquake over 6.4 magnitude happen before 2026 in the USA?
78% chance
Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?
40% chance
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude >6.0 in the New Madrid Seismic Zone by the end of 2026?
14% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or greater before 2030?
8% chance
Will the west coast of the continental United States or Canada experience a major earthquake before 2030?
40% chance
Will an earthquake 6.0 or greater with an epicenter within 50 miles of San Francisco occur by the end of 2024?
5% chance
Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2025?