Will an earthquake 6.0 or greater with an epicenter within 50 miles of San Francisco occur by the end of 2024?
Plus
18
Ṁ3550Jan 1
5%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@PlethoPappus you'll want to extend market close date to end of 2024, it's currently set to end of 2023.
Related questions
Related questions
Will an earthquake of 4.0 or more with an epicenter within 5 km of San Francisco happen in 2024?
21% chance
Will a magnitude 6.0 or higher earthquake occur in California between July 21, 2024 and December 31, 2024?
17% chance
Will San Francisco experience a major earthquake before 2030?
20% chance
Will an earthquake over 6.4 magnitude happen before 2026 in the USA?
57% chance
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 8.0 or larger during 2024?
14% chance
Will a large earthquake rock a major city that isn't in a tectonically active area by end 2029?
40% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.0 or greater before 2030?
90% chance
Will a major earthquake (above 8.0 magnitude) strike a populated area in the Pacific Ring of Fire within five years?
65% chance
Will a major earthquake with a magnitude of 8.5 or greater occur in the Pacific Ring of Fire before the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will a magnitude 7.5 + temblor occur anywhere by 2025?
84% chance