Which cadidate will win the 2024 Croatian presidential election?
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Plus
5
Ṁ440
Feb 18
48%
Zoran Milanović
21%
Dragan Primorac
9%
Marija Selak Raspudić
7%
Mislav Kolakušić
5%
Tomislav Jonjić
5%
Ivana Kekin
5%
Other

This market resolves on 18 February 2025, which is when the incumbent president's term is set to end.

As of October 24, the election date is not yet decided, but the Croatian Constitution requires that a presidential election be held no sooner than 60 days and no later than 30 days before the expiration of the incumbent president's term.

The president of Croatia is directly elected by secret ballot to a term of five years using the two-round system. An absolute majority (50% + 1 vote) of all votes cast (including invalid, blank and uncast ballots) is required to win in the first round. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a second-round is to be held 14 days later, with the two candidates with the highest number of votes in the first round taking part. The candidate who receives the highest number of votes in the second round (a majority of valid votes cast) is declared the winner. If one of the candidates who has qualified for the second round were to withdraw their candidacy or die, the candidate with the next highest number of votes in the first round takes their place in the second round.

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