What Russia-Ukraine war situation will most likely occur by the end of the year?
50
Dec 31
Current war borders will stay the same with a few miles of deviance.
Russia will reach Transnistria
Ukraine will reclaim old territories (excluding Crimea)
Ukraine will reclaim old territories (including Crimea)
Poll ends 31.12.2024
With the Russian invasion of Ukraine first occurring on the 20th of Feburary 2022, the invasion has slowed to a near halt since then.
This question asks speculators to predict the war forecast for the year of 2024. New revelations such as; Putin's defense minister being replaced, an upcoming 2024 US election, a $1 billion aid package from Joe Biden and Wagner hiring African mercenaries has the potential to dramatically change the tide of war, or maybe not.
Note: Options 3 and 4 do not require a complete reclamation of territory to be true, just that some of the old territory is claimed.
EDIT 04:02 14/05/2024: Context added and Note added.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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