This question asks if the inflation-adjusted US economy will have a year where it's 30% bigger than it has ever been before.
This question resolves YES if, in any year up to and including 2034, the US Real GDP (as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, adjusted for inflation) becomes more than 130% of ALL previous years' Real GDP values AND this value is not later revised down below the 130% threshold in BEA releases within the next calendar year.
The question resolves on January 1st, 2035 if this hasn't happened by then. If BEA data becomes unavailable, other reliable US government economic data sources may be used.
1,000
3.00@JussiVilleHeiskanen No, that's not how this resolves. It requires real output to be greater than the previous max by 30%:
> This question resolves YES if, in any year up to and including 2034, the US Real GDP (as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis, adjusted for inflation) becomes more than 130% of ALL previous years' Real GDP values AND this value is not later revised down below the 130% threshold in BEA releases within the next calendar year.
@TamayBesiroglu sorry, unclear thonking on my part, but the previous maximum doesn't have to be before our present, just has to be before the year it is 130 percent that
@JussiVilleHeiskanen correct. The question is asking if we will get massive yoy economic growth by 2035 in a way that doesn't include a crash and recovery.