Will I encounter a black swan this year?
➕
Plus
4
Ṁ86
Dec 30
15%
chance

Resolves "yes" if I see a living Cygnus atratus this year (wild of captive) with my own eyes, "no" otherwise.

Relevant info: I enjoy exploring nature (including bodies of water and parts) and sometimes photographing birds, but live in Europe, where Cygnus atratus doesn't naturally occur. I don't intend to travel to any country where they live naturally. There are very few captive specimens here somewhere, though. I have never seen one so far. I don't intend to go and deliberately try seek one out, but I also don't plan to avoid them. I might randomly spot one while exploring parks and similar. I will not trade.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules