Will I encounter a black swan this year?
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4
Ṁ86Dec 30
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves "yes" if I see a living Cygnus atratus this year (wild of captive) with my own eyes, "no" otherwise.
Relevant info: I enjoy exploring nature (including bodies of water and parts) and sometimes photographing birds, but live in Europe, where Cygnus atratus doesn't naturally occur. I don't intend to travel to any country where they live naturally. There are very few captive specimens here somewhere, though. I have never seen one so far. I don't intend to go and deliberately try seek one out, but I also don't plan to avoid them. I might randomly spot one while exploring parks and similar. I will not trade.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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