If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
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Plus
8
Ṁ1397
2029
3%
-1 - 0%
2%
0-1%
10%
1-2%
29%
2-3%
29%
3-4%
12%
4-5%
5%
5-6%
5%
6-7%
6%
Other

Richard Hanania has wrote a blog post claiming that he hates modern conservativism but wants Trump to win on the grounds of economic growth. Jeremiah Johnson is skeptical:

This sounds like uncertainty over a future observable!

If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, this will resolve by the annualised real GDP growth rate for the United States in the years 2025-2028, as given by the World Bank. Otherwise, this will resolve N/A.

Corresponding question for Harris:

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