If no ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Ukrainian territory be in 2028?
2
275αΉ362029
4.44 points
expected1D
1W
1M
ALL
7%
0.0 - 1.0
7%
1.0 - 2.0
18%
2.0 - 3.0
22%
3.0 - 4.0
15%
4.0 - 5.0
7%
5.0 - 6.0
7%
6.0 - 7.0
7%
7.0 - 8.0
7%
8.0 - 9.0
7%
9.0 - 10.0
Resolves at the sum of the Democracy Index of the countries that occupy the territory that Ukraine occupied before the Russian invasion in 2022 (excluding Crimea), weighted by the population living in that territory, or N/A if there is a ceasefire in 2025.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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