If no ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Russian territory be in 2028?
2
275αΉ10052029
2.77 points
expected1D
1W
1M
ALL
16%
0.0 - 1.0
23%
1.0 - 2.0
26%
2.0 - 3.0
12%
3.0 - 4.0
10%
4.0 - 5.0
6%
5.0 - 6.0
1.8%
6.0 - 7.0
1.8%
7.0 - 8.0
1.8%
8.0 - 9.0
1%
9.0 - 10.0
Resolves at the sum of the Democracy Index of the countries that occupy the territory that Russia occupied before the Russian invasion in 2022 (including Crimea), weighted by the population living in that territory.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Related questions
Related questions
If no ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Ukrainian territory be in 2028?
4.44
If ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Ukrainian territory be in 2028?
4.67
If ceasefire in 2025, what will the pop-weighted democracy index of pre-war Russian territory be in 2028?
2.69
What will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?
2.1
If Vladimir Putin is not in power in Russia, what will Russia's democracy index be in 2026, as per the Economist Intelligence Unit's Democracy report?
3.5
Will global approval of Russia decline in 2024, according to Gallup?
41% chance
[Metaculus] Will Russia have significantly expanded its controlled territory in Ukraine on January 1, 2026?
27% chance
Will Russia become more authoritarian in 2025?
63% chance
Will there be a civil war in Russia at any point before EOY 2050?
47% chance
Will Russia be a democracy in 2030?
18% chance