Will Tetra make an alignment-focused LessWrong post that she is proud of by the end of 2024?
Plus
16
Ṁ3570Dec 31
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
If Tetra writes [a] Lesswrong post(s) about alignment she is proud of in 2024, which subfield(s) will it be about?
Will "Alignment Implications of LLM Successes: a De..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
57% chance
Will I post about working olympiad-prediction-system on LessWrong in 2024?
23% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "Without fundamental advances, misalignment an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will ""Carefully Bootstrapped Alignment" is organiz..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
30% chance
Will "The self-unalignment problem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will ""Carefully Bootstrapped Alignment" is organiz..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
28% chance
Will "A Case for the Least Forgiving Take On Alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Optimistic Assumptions, Longterm Planning, an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
34% chance