Will Tetraspace's True Death be counterfactually because they cryocrastinated?
Premium
12
Ṁ8202050
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if I die in a way that could have been averted if I was cryopreserved, but was not averted BECAUSE I wasn't signed up to cryonics yet. Resolves NO if I sign up to cryonics, or if I die in a way that makes cryopreservation immediately impossible.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@jacksonpolack Cryopreservation tech could get better over time, it's unclear to me how good it is currently at preserving the relevant information
@jacksonpolack In the usual way that happens it's not a counterfactual True Death; going from cryothanasia now to freezing after having a heart attack in 30 years is biodeath -> biodeath and resolves NO.
Related questions
Related questions
Will Tetra get a cryonics medallion in 2024?
36% chance
If Tetraspace does X will she think it was a great idea in retrospect?
What prerequisites to cryopreservation will Tetraspace get done by the end of 2024?
How many people will Tetraspace aid in signing up to cryonics in 2024?
Will some combination of the major cryonics companies accidentally thaw at least two patients before 2030?
21% chance
[Metaculus] Will a cryonically frozen individual be resuscitated before 2100?
27% chance
Will anyone cryopreserved before the creation of this question ever be revived?
16% chance
will Kalorm survive to the end of 'to face the death you're never that far from' (includes both true death and cryo)
98% chance