It has occurred to me that the mostly linear profit growth and small liquidity split among many options may be significantly reducing the appeal of this market, for which I apologise

@TheAllMemeingEye My frequent betting might have made it less interesting for others as well. 🤔

@TheAllMemeingEye I guess making numeric markets for individual months and/or date markets for individual milestones might indeed be more appealing.

@4fa possibly, I may try that at some point

@TheAllMemeingEye Your profit is impressively consistent. Have you thought about making more aggressive bets?

@TimothyJohnson5c16 thanks haha, I take pride in my profit graph being as smooth as my brain 🧠

Am I out of touch with reality and limiting my growth by never betting more than a few tens of mana per bet (unless I have total certainty, or at the very least something more logically grounded than an intuitive hunch, which I rarely do due to my extremely limited knowledge), because I'm compulsively sticking to the heuristic of "never bet more than you're willing to lose" (due to fear of developing a life ruining gambling addiction), while failing to increase risk tolerance with increasing balance as I probably should, possibly out of habitual momentum? No, it's the other users who are wrong, for not posting enough markets in the handful of areas where I have any relevant knowledge /s

In all seriousness, yeah I probably should try to fix my mentality, but so far I have been mentally stuck in this trap

@TheAllMemeingEye Lol, it's not my place to tell you how to bet. Do whatever makes you happy! 😊

It is more entertaining to watch someone throw mana around like Tumbles, but overall the world would probably be better off with fewer agents of chaos, especially recently...

@TheAllMemeingEye I guess March resolves to 35%, right? 😁

@4fa I think technically it rounds closer to 36% but pretty much, thanks :)

@TheAllMemeingEye Oh, right, I must have misread – or it changed that much in the last twenty minutes. :-D

@TheAllMemeingEye I guess February resolves to 33%, right? :-)

@4fa you're right, thanks for the reminder :)

For context, my profit graph as of 5 Feb