Final Electoral Vote tally? (PAY ATTENTION TO THE STATES THAT FLIP IN EACH SCENARIO!) | Manifold

Final Electoral Vote tally? (PAY ATTENTION TO THE STATES THAT FLIP IN EACH SCENARIO!)

Basic

12

Ṁ3638

Nov 6

43%

Trump 312 - Harris 226 (Trump flips NV,AZ,GA,WI,MI,PA)

13%

Harris 303 - Trump 235 (Harris retains all states Biden won in 2020)

7%

Harris 319 - Trump 219 (Harris retains all Biden 2020 states + flips NC)

6%

Harris 287 - Trump 251 (Trump flips GA)

6%

Harris 271 - 267 (Trump flips NV,WI,GA)

6%

Harris 276 - Trump 262 (Trump flips AZ,GA)

5%

Harris 270 - Trump 268 (Trump flips NV,AZ,GA)

5%

Harris 281 - Trump 257 (Trump flips NV,GA)

5%

Harris 297 - Trump 241 (Trump flips NV)

5%

Other

4%

Trump 306 - Harris 232 (Trump flips AZ,GA,WI,MI,PA

4%

Harris 286 - Trump 252 (Trump flips NV,AZ)

4%

Trump 278 - Harris 260 (Trump flips NV,AZ,GA,WI)

4%

Trump 272 - Harris 266 (Trump flips AZ,GA,WI)

3%

Trump 297 - Harris 241 (Trump flips NV,AZ,GA,WI,PA)

3%

Trump 291 - Harris 247 (Trump flips AZ,GA,WI,PA)

3%

Trump 287 - Harris 251 (Trump flips NV,AZ,GA,PA)

3%

Trump 281 - Harris 257 (Trump flips AZ, GA, PA)

2%

OUTLIER SCENARIO: Harris 359+ EV's (Flips NC,TX,and others)

2%

OUTLIER SCENARIO: Trump 335+ EV's (Wins all states he did in 2016, plus VA,NV,MN and others)

What the electoral tally will look like, along with which swing states flip (if any), once all the votes are in.
Comment additional scenarios for me to add if you think I have forgotten any, I tried to think of as many PLAUSIBLE scenarios as possible.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#🇺🇸 US Politics

#🇺🇸 2024 US Presidential Election

#2024 US Election

#Democratic Party

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How would multiple resolve yes?

Cause all these probabilities are way too high

bought Ṁ5 Harris 319 - Trump 2... NO

Great market!

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