Will Uploaded Intelligence (human brain upload) exist by 2050?
Mini
7
164
2027
67%
chance

I want this not to be based on waiting till 2050 but actually based more on acquiring as much information as possible for both sides in 3 year intervals and base each 3 year slice along each general consensus from each market so it's more in-depth and trackable in a nuanced and detailed manner with more critical thinking and engagement.

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I don’t get it. How will you resolve it ?

@dionisos Basically works as a research collaboration. Yes and No holders post their findings that justify their bets and discuss it more in-depth. By 2026 we gather all the information discussed and from that general consensus we resolve to the most likely outcome of what will happen. The info, resolution, and discussion remain after for people to gauge from, produce new sub-markets and have a sense of real-time developments, creating a new market every 3 years for further refinement of the predictive trend and power along these lines.

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