By 2029 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs? | Manifold

By 2029 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

Plus

14

Ṁ329

2030

74%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

By 2029 end , will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

Quality.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

By 2025 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

Will Google have a better LLM than OpenAI by 2025?

-12% 1d19% chance

Will a LLM-based AI be used for a law enforcement decision before 2025?

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?

By 2027, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text > human text for training LLMs?

At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors?

+4% 1d39% chance

Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

Will any widely used LLM be pre-trained with abstract synthetic data before 2030?

Related questions

By 2025 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?

By 2027, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text > human text for training LLMs?

Will Google have a better LLM than OpenAI by 2025?

At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors?

Will a LLM-based AI be used for a law enforcement decision before 2025?

Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026

Will LLMs be better than typical white-collar workers on all computer tasks before 2026?

Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?

Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?

Will any widely used LLM be pre-trained with abstract synthetic data before 2030?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules