What will be the top 10 public companies in the world by market cap on Jan 1, 2025? [#1 resolves 100%, 2 90%, 5 60% etc]

Plus

Ṁ20k

Jan 1

90%

Apple

87%

NVIDIA

84%

Microsoft

64%

Alphabet (Google)

64%

Amazon

52%

Saudi Aramco

39%

Meta Platforms (Facebook)

26%

TSMC

24%

Berkshire Hathaway

Tesla

Broadcom

Eli Lilly

JPMorgan Chase

Novo Nordisk

UnitedHealth

1.6%

Visa

My intended source for the rankings will be: Companies ranked by Market Cap - CompaniesMarketCap.com. If this site no longer exists at the end of 2024, I'll find another suitable source.

The resolution value for each company will scale linearly based on their position in the top 10 when the market closes on December 31st, 2024:
#1 - 100%
#2 - 90%

#3 - 80%

#4 - 70%

#5 - 60%

#6 - 50%

#7 - 40%

#8 - 30%

#9 - 20%

#10 - 10%

All others - 0%

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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1,000

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17 Comments

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omg i did not read this at all and thought the top 10 all resolved yes...

bought Ṁ2 Microsoft NO

ah I think I took your mana, sorry! lol

sold Ṁ37 Saudi Aramco YES

@TimothyJohnson5c16 rename this please it should be 'in what order will the top 10 companies be' , right now it reads like if its a top 10, it resolves YES

bought Ṁ5 Amazon NO

seconding this request

sold Ṁ61 Amazon YES

we all just did this didnt we lol

vote for NA :)

i hate this shit

sold Ṁ0 TSMC NO

I think @mods can help with the title, a tag like [payout by rank] might work?

bought Ṁ100 Novo Nordisk NO

i just had a whole argument with the mods over how i believe markets that do not change their title to be accurate should be NAed especially if its been a while and people are still getting confused -_-

I've only seen a couple people confused, I think reading description is a must, always, but particularly when you see some too-good-to-be-true prices. But I agree the title could've been clearer here.

in this case the title doesnt make any sense yeah, it reads like it needs YES or NO response

What will be the top 10 public companies in the world by market cap on Jan 1, 2025? [1 resolves 100%, 2 90%, 5 60% etc] - good?

I don't think we're going to N/A this. The title is certainly bad though

ty for validating me </3

i sent you some mana but if amazon tops this list i want it back 😝

bought Ṁ100 Tesla NO

lol its ok im taking the loss, ty for the gesture

Forget the top spots (maybe 2 or 3 switch in the middle quite unpredictable), big gains are for #10: one of six gets 10%, the rest zero (no need to guess which).

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