Per Wikipedia: Taiwan, formally known as the Republic of China (ROC),[1][2] currently has formal diplomatic relations with 11 of the 193 United Nations member states and with the Holy See, which governs Vatican City, as of 15 January 2024.[3]
Nauru has switched! Will any of the remaining remaining 12 (11 + Holy See) countries who diplomatically recognize Taiwan change their recognition to the PRC by the end of 2024?
Question resolved YES for any of these nations announcing a switch, NO if they all still recognize Taiwan by midnight, 31 Dec 2024.
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3.00Tuvalu's new government now made an official statement.
> The new government wishes to reaffirm its commitment to the long-term and lasting special relationship between Tuvalu and the Republic of China, Taiwan
https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/new-tuvalu-government-reaffirms-relationship-with-taiwan-2024-02-28/
Feleti Teo is the prime minister.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2024/feb/26/tuvalu-election-feleti-teo-named-pm-prime-minister-kausea-natano
Summary of situation in Tuvalu. It seems to depend on who will be the prime minister. Kausea Natano, the former prime minister, was pro-Taiwan. Among candidates for the new prime minister, Seve Paienu is "open to a switch", but Enele Sopoaga is not. Selection of the new prime minister is getting delayed due to bad weather.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2024-02-05/taiwan-tuvalu-beijing-china-pacific-diplomatic-switch-ties-/103421410
@MystistStudio If a nation changes their recognition to the PRC, the market will resolve at that time, I won’t keep it open to see if they change back.