After the next Australian federal election, will any party control a majority of the seats in the Senate?
Basic
3
Ṁ1672025
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The next federal election in the Senate must take place before the 24th of May, 2025.
For the puposes of this question, the parties that make up the Liberal/National Coalition count as one party.
If there are 76 senators in the senate, 39 senators are needed to form a majority.
This question concerns the makeup of the senate after the results of the next senate election are taken into account, not whether any party manages to win a majority of seats up for election in a half-senate election.
This question will resolve only after the ABC's senate results page has no seats remaining in doubt.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Which Australian political party will become the dominant party after the next House election (as of Feb 2024)?
Will the party that wins the next Australian federal election have a majority in the Senate?
11% chance
In the Australian federal election for the 48th Parliament of Australia, will the Australian Labor Party win a majority of the seats in the House of Representatives?
23% chance
After the next Australian federal election, will the crossbench in the Senate be larger than after the last election?
61% chance
What will be true of the next general election for the House of Representatives in Australia?
Which seats will the Australian Labor Party win at the next general election for the House of Representatives?
Will the Liberal/National Coalition win more seats in the House of Representatives in the next Australian federal election than it did in the 2022 Australian federal election?
79% chance
Which party will control the US senate after the 2030 midterm elections?
Will Labor win the 2025 Australian federal election?
47% chance
Will Democrats control the US Senate any time after the 2024 elections and before the 2030 elections?
68% chance