What will voter turnout be in the 2024 United States Presidential election?
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114
Ṁ38k
2026
99%
More than 154M
8%
More than 156M
4%
More than 158,429,631 (the turnout of the 2020 election)
3%
More than 160M
1.8%
More than 162M
2%
More than 164M
1.8%
More than 166M
1.4%
More than 168M
1.4%
More than 170M
1%
More than 172M
1%
More than 174M
1%
More than 176M
1%
More than 178M
1%
More than 180M
1%
More than 185M
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sold Ṁ254 More than 140M YES

@creator can some of the lower ones be resolved early? Both Dave Leip (https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/national.php) and the New York Times (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president.html) have turnout over 151 million already.

bought Ṁ648 Answer #e115b901758d YES

@polymathematic I've made Dave Leip the resolution criteria

Can someone clarify which states have tightened or loosened voter registration regulations since the 2020 election? And also things like mail-in voting, early voting, etc.? Surely the result of this market depends on those types of changes.

2020 was an absolutely historic year for turnout by American standards. It was the highest percent since the South clamped down on voting restrictions around 1900. And the voting eligible population is growing as slowly as ever.

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