Where will Donald Trump win more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election than he did in the 2020 election?
Basic
53
แน€9081
2026
96%
District of Columbia (18,586 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
Nebraska (556,846 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
North Dakota (235,751 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
New York (3,251,997 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
North Carolina (2,758,775 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
Kentucky (1,326,646 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
Louisiana (1,255,776 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
Massachusetts (1,167,202 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
Idaho (554,119 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
Delaware (200,603 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
South Carolina (1,385,103 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
New Hampshire (365,660 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
New Jersey (1,883,313 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
Vermont (112,704 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
Connecticut (714,717 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
Florida (5,668,731 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
Colorado (1,364,607 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
Maryland (976,414 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
Arizona (1,661,686 votes for Trump in 2020)
96%
The United States of America (74,223,975 votes for Trump in 2020)

Answers where Donald Trump wins more (i.e. a higher absolute number of) votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election will resolve YES. Otherwise that answer will resolve NO.

If it's close enough for any answer such that different sources come to different answers for the purposes of resolution, the Federal Election Commission's numbers will be the source upon which resolution will be based.

Numbers for the 2020 election are taken from the FEC's report: https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/federalelections2020.pdf

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sold แน€19 YES

A lot of these are already enough above 2020 to resolve

California is wrong, the figure you show is the number of votes for biden.

@EddisonChen Thanks, fixed

bought แน€10 NO

2020 was unusually high turnout. I'd expect 2024 to be lower across the board

@ShakedKoplewitz in principle also worth looking at population growth across different states, but eh too much work

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