Where will Donald Trump win more votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election than he did in the 2020 election?
54
1.3kแน€11k
resolved Feb 22
Resolved
YES
Alabama (1,441,170 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Arizona (1,661,686 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
California (6,006,518 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Connecticut (714,717 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Delaware (200,603 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
District of Columbia (18,586 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Florida (5,668,731 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Georgia (2,461,854 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Idaho (554,119 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Illinois (2,446,891 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Iowa (897,672 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Kentucky (1,326,646 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Maine (360,737 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Maryland (976,414 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Massachusetts (1,167,202 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Michigan (2,649,852 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Minnesota (1,484,065 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Missouri (1,718,736 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Montana (343,602 votes for Trump in 2020)
Resolved
YES
Nebraska (556,846 votes for Trump in 2020)

Answers where Donald Trump wins more (i.e. a higher absolute number of) votes in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election will resolve YES. Otherwise that answer will resolve NO.

If it's close enough for any answer such that different sources come to different answers for the purposes of resolution, the Federal Election Commission's numbers will be the source upon which resolution will be based.

Numbers for the 2020 election are taken from the FEC's report: https://www.fec.gov/resources/cms-content/documents/federalelections2020.pdf

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sold แน€3 NO

@Tripping Can you resolve the states where it isn't too close to say, please?

sold แน€19 YES

A lot of these are already enough above 2020 to resolve

California is wrong, the figure you show is the number of votes for biden.

@EddisonChen Thanks, fixed

bought แน€10 NO

2020 was unusually high turnout. I'd expect 2024 to be lower across the board

@ShakedKoplewitz in principle also worth looking at population growth across different states, but eh too much work

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