Will the margin of victory in Wisconsin be smaller than the margin of victory in Pennsylvania?
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In the 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden's margin over Donald Trump in Pennsylvania was 1.16%, and his margin over Donald Trump in Wisconsin was 0.63%.
In the 2024 presidential election, if the winner of Wisconsin wins by a smaller margin (in terms of the percentage of the popular vote in that state, not the absolute number of votes) than the margin that the winner wins by in Pennsylvania, this market will resolve YES.
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