Will Pete Hegseth resign as US Secretary of Defense before the end of July 2025?
128
100Ṁ9110
Jul 31
25%
chance
3

Will resolve YES if Pete Hegseth resigns from his position as US Secretary of Defense for any reason before July 2025

  • Update 2025-04-21 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Updated Criteria:

    • The official announcement must indicate that Pete Hegseth resigned or is stepping down of his own accord.

    • If the announcement shows he was terminated by POTUS or another authority, the market will resolve as NO.

Pete Hegseth
Houthi
Yemen
National Security
Department of Defence
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
sold Ṁ116 NO

How does this resolve if he's fired but doesn't resign on his own volition @creator ?

@bens - the official press release or announcement from White House must indicate resignation or that he is stepping down from the role (of his own accord) otherwise will resolve NO. If the announcement unequivocally states he was terminated from the role by order of POTUS or other authority then will resolve NO.

bought Ṁ20 NO

Out of all the people aware of the possibility, does even one person put <10% that this was a hack (e.g. a fake accident for disruption and/or a hit on Hegseth)?

People are also trading

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules