Will US productivity growth be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years? | Manifold

Will US productivity growth be >= 2% (annualized) over the next 5 years?

Standard

32

Ṁ1249

2029

76%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

from end of 2023 to end of 2028

Based on BLS non-farm labor productivity (output per hour)

https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/PRS85006091

Nonfarm Business Sector: Labor Productivity (Output per Hour) for All Workers

Graph and download economic data for Nonfarm Business Sector: Labor Productivity (Output per Hour) for All Workers (PRS85006091) from Q1 1948 to Q2 2023 about per hour, productivity, output, sector, nonfarm, business, real, persons, rate, and USA.

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#️ Technology

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bought Ṁ30 YES

which country? World?

@RemNi US. See description for source. I’ll update title to clarify.

Is this about the world economy?

bought Ṁ10 YES

As long as the startup industry keeps pushing the technologically feasible, magnified by corporates pressured to hire consultants to transform to compete

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Will 2020s US productivity average over 1.8%, per Erik Brynjolfsson and Robert J Gordon's Long Bet?

Will US GDP growth be greater than 10% in 2029?

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