Will the first fusion reactor use steam?
Basic
4
Ṁ1602060
83%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
YES if >50% of its power is made using steam.
Edit: Resolves with same criteria as https://manifold.markets/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Is https://manifold.markets/RemNi/what-year-do-we-get-fusion-reactors
a good criteria? If so I'll use the same as that.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be a tokamak?
52% chance
Will the first commercial fusion reactor be D-T?
75% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2031?
32% chance
What will be the most numerous type of fusion power plant in 2100?
When will the first commercially viable nuclear fusion power plant be built?
Will the first commercial fusion reactor use inertial confinement fusion? (And not magnetic confinement fusion)
31% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2035?
44% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2032?
32% chance
Will we get fusion reactors before 2038?
50% chance
Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?
75% chance