Will the Adidas Backpack I bought last till Nov. 1 2026? (4 years from purchase)

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Ṁ116

2026

45%

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The backpack was purchased near the end of October for 59.99$. It is a "Classic 3S 4 Backpack". I have been using it daily going to/from work, and for grocery runs (approx weekly).

Minor damage (that I can repair easily) will not be enough to resolve this market No. Damage/wear causing me to replace the backpack before Nov. 1 2026 will cause this to resolve No. If I lose the backpack before resolution, this resolves N/A.

My previous backpack was from Mountain Equipment co-op, and lasted about 4-5 years.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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I have noticed that product reviews generally have terribly misaligned incentives, and am hoping that we can use prediction markets to counteract this.

I realize that this market looks a bit like an ad, but it is not.

@UnconditionalProbability The duration of these kinds of markets is a downside.

If they start to matter enough that marketers distort them, I expect that other traders will detect and try to profit off that manipulation.

Will the Adidas Backpack I bought last till Nov. 1 2026? (4 years from purchase), 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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