Will Bedrock Galactica outsell Tinybox in 2024?

Basic

Ṁ22

Dec 31

60%

chance

ALL

Two local AI products: https://www.bedrock.computer/gal VS https://tinygrad.org/

I will compare number of units sold. For the former, there is a market already I can use as a source: https://manifold.markets/firstuserhere/how-many-units-of-bedrock-galactica#tlGCnwfMOcuwr5lr0FKe, for the latter, I will try to find a market I can piggy off, or a good source.

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1,000

and

3.00

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Anyone know the answer? I stopped following

Is this including preorders, or does it have to be shipped? The BG is $500 upfront, $5,000 total, the TB is $100 upfront and $15,000 total. Notably the BG preorder cost is non-refundable, the TB preorder cost is refundable before it's been shipped.

@horse good question! Not easy to answer. I will count unshipped preorders just to make this simpler to resolve. Otherwise I need to make judgements about “does it count it manufactured, does it count if on a ship, etc.”

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