![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FL_ufRdKIRh.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3D14f15462-2832-4c21-8fb1-716e49b5b762&w=3840&q=75)
Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2030?
Basic
20
Ṁ4072029
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Policy criteria for YES resolution:
Is a formal legislation
Is nationwide (not a regional trial)
Is stable (not a one-off payment; planned for at least 5+ years into the future)
Occurs before Jan 1, 2040 EST
If no policy satisfying all of the above conditions are implemented, the market will resolve NO.
PLEASE NOTE: for this market a "partial UBI" will count (this is different compared to my 3 other similar markets which requires a "full UBI" in order to resolve YES).
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
24% chance
Will any country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
66% chance
Will a country implement Universal Basic Income as a permanent policy by 2030?
31% chance
Will there be a country with Universal Basic Income by 2030?
35% chance
Will universal basic income be introduced in the U.S. by 2030?
25% chance
Will a country successfully implement a full universal basic income (UBI) program nationwide by 2030?
31% chance
Will any OECD country effectively introduce a form of UBI before 2033?
46% chance
Will any EU country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
38% chance
Will any country implement a universal basic income by 2026?
30% chance
Will any EU country implement a universal basic income before 2030?
24% chance