From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
I will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if, after the launch of this question and before January 1, 2026, an episode of the Joe Rogan Experience is published in which one of the guests is a member of the rationality movement, a member of the effective altruism movement, or an AI safety researcher.
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@CharlesFoster per Gladstone AI's website: "Jeremie Harris is the CEO and co-founder of Gladstone AI. He is an experienced AI startup founder with deep technical expertise in AI safety and security, who has co-founded and sold companies backed by top Silicon Valley investors. [...] Jeremie led Gladstone’s work developing the Survey of AI Technologies and AI R&D Trajectories, and contributed to the Action Plan as a domain expert in both AI national security and technical AI safety." Looks like it's a Yes, once Metaculus resolves.
The sweepstakes market for this question has been resolved to partial as we are shutting down sweepstakes. Please read the full announcement here. The mana market will continue as usual.
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