RTX 5090 production delayed or interrupted by military conflict in Taiwan.
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33
Ṁ3879
2027
8%
chance

Resolves as “yes” if Nvidia’s RTX 5090 production is either delayed or interrupted at any point during its production by military conflict in Taiwan.

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MercurialGuesserboughtṀ50NO

So this is a “will China invade/blockade Taiwan by 2025” question.

@24a Not necessarily by 2025, as I’m including the entire production period of the RTX 5090. This is really a market on whether or not production of the Blackwell generation of consumer AI chips/GPUs will be interrupted by war.

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