Will Jimmy Carter turn 101? | Manifold

Will Jimmy Carter turn 101?

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2025

8%

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Resolves YES if former US president Jimmy Carter is alive on his 101st birthday (October 1st, 2025)

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The odds of a 100 year old living to 101 are roughly 40%

Does he need to be alive while turning 101 for this to resolve to YES ?

@jothan Sorry, I can't read sometimes, it is in the description.

Why 8%? Doesn’t a 99 year old have a more than 8% chance of making it to 101?

99 year olds that have been in hospice care for a year and a half?

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