Will independence supporting parties maintain a majority in the next Scottish Parliament Election?
Basic
9
Ṁ256
2026
21%
chance

This question will resolve yes if parties which support independence win the majority of seats in the Scottish Parliament in the next election, which due to be held on Thursday 7 May 2026.

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bought Ṁ20 NO

I have created a similar question for seat shares on all the parties at the next Scottish election:

https://manifold.markets/PontiMin/in-the-next-scottish-parliamentary