Will the Bitcoin halvening be followed by substantially decreased block production?
Basic
4
Ṁ305Dec 31
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution is based on comparing BTC block rates,
averaged for 28 days in the [D+29,D+58] vs. [D-58,D-29]
intervals from after and before the halving on day D. Closes on D+29.
Resolves YES if production decreased by at least 14 block/day, NO otherwise.
Data is to be taken from <https://blockchair.com/charts/create/>
('Block height' dataset).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
When will the fifth bitcoin halving occur?
Will the Bitcoin go down by more than 20% over 2024?
11% chance
Will the Bitcoin go down by more than 10% over 2024?
10% chance
Will the Elfstedentocht happen again before the 6th bitcoin halving?
56% chance
Will the Elfstedentocht happen again before the 5th bitcoin halving?
38% chance
Will the last Bitcoin be mined before 2140?
55% chance
Will Bitcoin total hashrate reach 700 EH/s in 2024?
93% chance
Will Bitcoin experience "mining gaps" before the first 365-day period where transaction fees are >1/2 of total block rewards?
13% chance
Will Bitcoin change its block reward mechanism by 2040?
8% chance
Will NVidia's stock drop 30% before Bitcoin drop 30%?
39% chance