Which of these writing accomplishments will Zvi Mowshowitz achieve in 2024?
Basic
33
Ṁ4617Jan 1
88%
Decide it was all Worth It (must keep at it, then decide, subjective)
87%
Jones Act overview post
83%
A comprehensive review of the EU AI Act
83%
50+ Weekly AI Posts (AI#94 is published)
73%
12 Monthly Roundups (Monthly Roundup #25)
64%
A post about the 2024 Election (oh no)
62%
50%+ Paid Subscriber growth on Substack (naive trendline #)
57%
52 Weekly AI Posts (AI#96 is published)
54%
Substack post with 50k+ total views
50%
Finish year with 500 alignment forum karma
50%
66%+ Free Subscriber growth on Substack (naive trendline #)
46%
Substack post with 100k+ total views
41%
Published in Vox
38%
Published in The Free Press
38%
Meet with a Congressperson
34%
Post anywhere with 1m+ total views
32%
30k+ Twitter followers (Jan 1: 23k)
28%
A Twitter post with 1m+ views
24%
Meet with a Senator
19%
Author on a paper in ArXiv
Definitions:
Meeting requires either a virtual meeting of 30 minutes, or an in-person meeting of 5 minutes, during which actual conversation takes place. Hearings don't count.
Published means writing an article and having a byline of 'by Zvi Mowshowitz' somewhere. Letters to the editor or mailbox questions and such do not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-my-review-of-on-the-edge-be-lo?r=UHBhdQ
Seems like quite a strong signal for the Nate Silver question
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