Which of these writing accomplishments will Zvi Mowshowitz achieve in 2024?
Basic
37
Ṁ7036Jan 1
99%
Jones Act overview post
96%
Decide it was all Worth It (must keep at it, then decide, subjective)
93%
50+ Weekly AI Posts (AI#94 is published)
93%
A comprehensive review of the EU AI Act
92%
12 Monthly Roundups (Monthly Roundup #25)
87%
52 Weekly AI Posts (AI#96 is published)
62%
50%+ Paid Subscriber growth on Substack (naive trendline #)
54%
Substack post with 50k+ total views
50%
66%+ Free Subscriber growth on Substack (naive trendline #)
41%
Finish year with 500 alignment forum karma
34%
Meet with a Congressperson
25%
Published in Vox
24%
Meet with the CEO of Anthropic, OpenAI or DeepMind
20%
Published in The Free Press
19%
30k+ Twitter followers (Jan 1: 23k)
18%
Substack post with 100k+ total views
15%
Meet with a Senator
12%
A Twitter post with 1m+ views
10%
Author on a paper in ArXiv
6%
A post about the 2024 Election (oh no)
Definitions:
Meeting requires either a virtual meeting of 30 minutes, or an in-person meeting of 5 minutes, during which actual conversation takes place. Hearings don't count.
Published means writing an article and having a byline of 'by Zvi Mowshowitz' somewhere. Letters to the editor or mailbox questions and such do not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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https://manifold.markets/ZviMowshowitz/will-my-review-of-on-the-edge-be-lo?r=UHBhdQ
Seems like quite a strong signal for the Nate Silver question
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