Will a replicating AI take over the Replit cloud by EOY 24?
Plus
79
Ṁ10kJan 1
1.2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As per their CEO Amjad Masad here (https://twitter.com/amasad/status/1670473919504220160): "There is a non-zero chance BabyAGI will self-replicate inside Replit and take over our cloud. If it happens it happens."
This market resolves to YES if, by 1 Jan 2025, we learn that some AI program self-replicated inside Replit sufficiently to actually substantially inconvenience Replit users. If it is unclear whether this happened, a Twitter poll or similar will be used to adjudicate.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027?
31% chance
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will AI be Recursively Self Improving by mid 2026?
40% chance
By 2028, will there be a public instance of an AI cybersecurity system autonomously replicating itself?
36% chance
Will xAI have the most powerful AI by December 2024?
9% chance
Will AI take over the world by 2100?
41% chance
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2025?
1% chance
Will I be the victim of an AI blackmail/ransom threat by EOY 2031?
51% chance
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will the ai replication paper be replicated?
48% chance