Will Zvi get punished in 2024 picking up pennies in front of a steamroller?
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36
Ṁ1820Jan 8
17%
chance
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Resolves to YES if, in 2024, Zvi bets in any Manifold market in which he moves that market below 5%, or above 95%, and then that bet resolves by this market's close and Zvi both loses that bet and net loses on the market.
There is no minimum number of such wagers Zvi has to make for this market to be valid. To resolve YES this only has to happen once.
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