Multi year market: Will AI be as big a political issue as abortion?
Plus
41
Ṁ49492030
5%
In 2024, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
16%
In 2025, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
24%
In 2026, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
31%
In 2027, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
40%
In 2028, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
Resolved
NOIn 2023, AI be as big a political issue as abortion
Will resolve at the end of each year according to Scott's original resolution:
I will resolve this based on some combination of how much it gets talked about in elections, how much money goes to interest groups on both topics, and how much of the "political conversation" seems to be about either.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
@geometry dash wave Will decide in accordance with Scott's first resolution at the conclusion of every year
Related questions
Related questions
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
49% chance
If the left/right culture war comes for AI before US elections, will the right be the pro-AI side?
82% chance
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
41% chance
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion, according to funding?
55% chance
Will the "culture war" come for AI before end 2024?
36% chance
When will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion on Manifold?
Will AI be among the top 5 most important issues for voters in the lead up to the 2028 election?
46% chance
In 2028, will AI be at least as big a political issue as abortion?
43% chance
In 2028, will AI rank at least as high as abortion on Gallup's poll of America's most important problem?
54% chance
By end of 2028, will AI be considered a bigger x risk than climate change by the general US population?
40% chance