Will Elon Musk run for a political office in 2024?
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Resolution: "Elon Musk will formally announce his candidacy for a political office in the year 2024."

Operational Definitions:

  • Elon Musk: Refers to the entrepreneur known for founding or leading companies such as SpaceX, Tesla, Inc., Neuralink, and The Boring Company.

  • Formally Announce: An official declaration made by Elon Musk or his authorized representative, communicated through a public medium such as a press release, official social media account, public speech, or official interview. Speculative or unofficial reports do not qualify as a formal announcement.

  • Candidacy for a Political Office: This includes any elected position within the political structure of any country. It must be a recognized office that is part of a governmental structure, including local, state/provincial, or federal levels.

  • Year 2024: The announcement must occur between January 1, 2024, and December 31, 2024, based on the local time zone where the announcement is made.

  • The resolution is considered met if Elon Musk, as defined, makes a formal announcement, as defined, of his intention to run for a recognized political office, as defined, within the specified timeframe of the year 2024, which would result in a resolution to YES.

  • If the year 2024 ends without such an announcement being made, the resolution is considered not met, which would result in a resolution to NO.

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