![](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252FwDA4aWRlzq.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3Dccd08746-2684-4636-a920-5e9374c57030&w=3840&q=75)
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2026?
Basic
36
Ṁ2.0k2026
52%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Popular for this market= 20mil+ human users
Personal texts = dms, private chats, WhatsApp chats, discord dms, lw dms, etc.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2025?
32% chance
Will we have a popular LLM fine-tuned on people's personal texts by June 1, 2024?
2% chance
At the beginning of 2028, will LLMs still make egregious common-sensical errors?
47% chance
By 2027, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text > human text for training LLMs?
63% chance
Will LLMs' loss function achieve the level of entropy of human text by the end of 2030?
61% chance
By 2025 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?
23% chance
Will there be any simple text-based task that most humans can solve, but top LLMs can't? By the end of 2026
60% chance
At the end of 2024, what type of LLM prompt will be the most popularized?
Will LLMs become a ubiquitous part of everyday life by June 2026?
89% chance
By 2029 end, will it be generally agreed upon that LLM produced text/code > human text/code for training LLMs?
78% chance