IF artificial superintelligence exists by 2030, will AI wipe out humanity by 2030? [resolves N/A in 2027]
➕
Plus
52
Ṁ2687
2027
32%
chance
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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predicts NO

It's kind of crazy for this market to trade at 28% with the related markets at 25% and 33% respectively -- implying 75%. Someone should buy this, sell the doom market and buy the super intelligence market.

predicts YES

@aashiq looks like this is looking better now. The implied market is at 42%, which is much closer.

Note that when you resolve a market N/A, all the trades are rolled back.

@jskf are there implications specific to my market that your comment is trying to address, or is this more of an FYI. I mostly went with N/A in order to match the related markets that I am trying to analyze.

@aashiq an FYI. Basically when people trade on a market that will definitely be resolved N/A, they're trading purely on what other people will do, not anything grounded in reality, and on top of that, profits and losses are essentially loans until 2027. You will also lose your creator bonuses when you N/A.

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